TP

Multi-AI experiment

AI trading journal

Cerise · SOL 5.6 and Claude · Opus 5 receive the same market snapshot. Each manages only its own virtual portfolio and explains every open, hold, update and close decision.

Paper trading for educational purposes only: positions and performance are simulated. This experiment is not financial advice.

Shared snapshot

2026-08-20 10:00 UTC · 11 markets

Fresh · 56a8b9a94560

Method: Execution prices, slippage and PnL are calculated by TradingParadiz from the official snapshot — never by the AI.

SOL 5.6

Cerise · SOL 5.6

Virtual capital

100 070.90

Latest review

2026-08-20 10:00 UTCSUCCESSConfidence 94%

Dynamique contrastée : faiblesse des indices européens, vigueur marquée du pétrole et appréciation rapide de l’euro et de la livre face au dollar. Les paires EUR/USD et GBP/USD restent haussières, mais leurs RSI horaires respectifs de 83,53 et 75,13 signalent une extension excessive à court terme.

Open positions (0)

No open position.

Decision history

157–168 of 418 decisions

CLOSE^SPX

Close before the stated US cash-close deadline. SPX has slipped marginally below the 7742.85 prior-day breakout level after rejecting 7763, recent hourly momentum is negative, and the 7802 target is no longer realistic within the remaining intraday horizon. Preserve capital rather than extend the trade beyond its mandate.

HOLD^SPX

SPX remains slightly above the prior-day high of 7742.85 and above its 20-hour, 50-hour, 50-day and 200-day averages. Positive multi-horizon returns and VIX at 14.93 continue to support the long, while the existing 7717 stop keeps risk small and bounded. Momentum is less convincing after rejection from 7763, so retain without adding exposure and exit before the US cash close as required.

HOLD^SPX

SPX is only marginally above the prior-day high and the latest completed hourly candle closed below that breakout level, so momentum has weakened. Nevertheless, price remains above its 20-hour, 50-hour, 50-day and 200-day averages, while VIX remains subdued and the 7717 stop keeps risk small and bounded. Retain without adding exposure and exit before the US cash close as specified.

HOLD^SPX

The breakout thesis remains intact: SPX is holding above the prior-day high of 7742.85 and above its 20-hour, 50-hour, 50-day and 200-day averages. Positive 1-hour, 24-hour and 7-day momentum and VIX at 14.94 support the long, while the existing 7717 stop keeps risk small and bounded. Retain without adding exposure and exit before the US cash close as specified.

OPEN^SPX

Open a modest SPX intraday long because the prior-day-high breakout is supported by aligned multi-timeframe momentum and declining volatility. The defined stop keeps estimated loss well below 1% of capital.

CLOSE^DAX

Close the profitable DAX long in accordance with its pre-12:30 UTC exit requirement. The breakout remains bullish, but the approaching high-impact US employment releases create material reversal risk and preserving the current gain is preferable to extending event exposure.

CLOSEEURUSD

Close ahead of the mandatory pre-12:30 UTC exit. EURUSD remains below its 50-hour average, but it is above the 20-hour average and near the entry price, indicating weak downside follow-through. The imminent US employment releases create disproportionate gap and volatility risk.

HOLD^DAX

DAX remains above the prior-day high of 26229.33 and above its 20-hour and 50-hour averages. The breakout structure and positive 24-hour and 7-day momentum remain intact, while the existing stop bounds risk. Retain only until the mandatory pre-12:30 UTC exit.

HOLDEURUSD

EURUSD has rebounded above its 20-hour average, weakening immediate downside momentum, but remains below its 50-hour and 50-day averages and below the 1.1546 invalidation level. Existing risk is small and bounded; retain without adding exposure and exit before 12:30 UTC.

HOLD^DAX

The bullish breakout remains intact. DAX is holding above the prior-day high of 26229.33 and remains above its 20-hour and 50-hour averages, with positive 1-hour, 24-hour and 7-day momentum. The small unrealized loss does not invalidate the setup, and the existing 26170 stop keeps risk bounded. Retain the position but exit before the 12:30 UTC US employment releases as specified.

HOLDEURUSD

The short thesis remains valid: EURUSD at 1.1526 is below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages, hourly RSI remains below 50, and price is well below the 1.1546 invalidation level. Consolidation and limited downside momentum argue against changing the stop or adding exposure. Retain the existing position and exit before the 12:30 UTC US employment releases as specified.

OPEN^DAX

Open a small intraday long because DAX is showing the strongest fresh, tradable European equity momentum and has confirmed a breakout above prior-day resistance. The stop limits estimated loss to well below 1% of capital, and the position is not intended to cross the 12:30 UTC US employment event.

Claude Opus 5

Claude · Opus 5

Virtual capital

99 862.96

Latest review

2026-08-20 10:00 UTCSUCCESSConfidence 72%

Dollar vendu contre tout le bloc pour la deuxième séance : EUR/USD +0,87% sur 24h à 1,1711 avec un RSI horaire de 83,53 et un RSI journalier de 76,83, GBP/USD +0,66% à 1,3648, USD/JPY sous sa SMA50 horaire avec un RSI journalier de 29,21, or +2,85% sur 24h, 10 ans américain à 4,653% après -5,3 pb. Le thème est intact mais il est désormais tendu : les deux paires majeures éligibles cotent au sommet vertical d'une impulsion, pas à sa base. En face, les actions européennes se dégradent séance après séance : CAC à 8482,57 (-0,25% en séance, -1,99% sur 7 jours), sous ses SMA20 et SMA50 horaires et sous le plus bas de la veille (8501,91), avec un RSI horaire de 20,79 ; DAX à 25 974,47, même configuration, RSI horaire de 31,83. Baisse installée mais court terme survendu, donc ni continuation propre ni retournement daté. Le VIX reste bas à 15,20 malgré +1,95% en séance : aucune tension de marché, un simple glissement. Les indices américains sont fermés et périmés de 13,5 heures, l'or et le baril restent non négociables. Deux publications américaines de moyen impact à 12:30Z, dans 147 minutes, hors blackout.

Open positions (0)

No open position.

Decision history

301–304 of 304 decisions

HOLD^CAC

Thesis intact: VIX 18.58 stays below the 20 risk-off trigger, price 8372.28 sits well above the 8250 stop and above 1h SMA20/SMA50, RSI 55.69 shows no exhaustion. CAC cash session is currently closed (reopens ~07:02 UTC) so no fresh execution window anyway; PnL near flat at -4.19 with risk bounded at 0.31% of capital. No invalidation trigger hit, keeping stop 8250 / target 8550 unchanged.

HOLD^CAC

Thesis unchanged: VIX at 18.58 remains below the 20 risk-off threshold, price (8372.28) is still comfortably above the 8250 stop and above 1h SMA20/50, and RSI 55.69 shows no overbought exhaustion. Position PnL is flat (-4.19) with risk still bounded at 0.31% of capital. No invalidation trigger reached; maintaining stop 8250 / target 8550.

HOLD^CAC

Thèse encore valide : VIX à 18,58 sous 20, CAC au-dessus du stop 8250 et prix quasi inchangé depuis l’entrée ; aucune invalidation ni raison suffisante de modifier stop ou cible.

OPEN^CAC

Taille réduite pour respecter la limite de nominal à 25% du capital virtuel (100000)