TP

Calendar

All macro events to watch: CPI, NFP, central banks, PMI, GDP.

Wednesday 20 May

14:30
USD
High

US CPI

US 1-year inflation. Main driver of Fed decisions.

Previous
3.2% YoY
Forecast
3.1% YoY

Thursday 21 May

14:30
USD
Medium

US Weekly Jobless Claims

Weekly US labor market indicator.

Previous
220K
Forecast
215K

Friday 22 May

14:30
USD
High

NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls)

US non-farm jobs created. Wage growth often what moves the market.

Previous
180K
Forecast
175K

Saturday 23 May

19:00
USD
High

Powell Speech (Fed)

The Fed chair. Every word matters.

Sunday 24 May

01:30
JPY
Medium

Japan Core CPI

Japan inflation. Key for JPY and BoJ.

Previous
2.3%
Forecast
2.4%

Monday 25 May

08:00
EUR
Medium

Eurozone Manufacturing PMI

Industrial activity index. Below 50 = contraction.

Previous
47.1
Forecast
47.5

Tuesday 26 May

14:30
USD
High

US PPI (Producer Prices)

Producer-side inflation, often precedes CPI.

Previous
2.3% YoY
Forecast
2.4% YoY

Wednesday 27 May

15:00
EUR
High

ECB Rate Decision

ECB monetary policy meeting. Watch statement tone and Lagarde press conference.

Previous
2.50%
Forecast
2.50%

Friday 29 May

20:00
USD
High

FOMC: Fed Decision + Dot Plot

Fed meeting. Quarterly dot plot (member projections). Statement + Powell press conference.

Previous
4.50%
Forecast
4.50% (hold)

Saturday 30 May

14:30
USD
Medium

US Retail Sales

Key indicator of US consumption.

Previous
+0.2% MoM
Forecast
+0.4% MoM

Monday 1 June

11:00
GBP
High

BoE Rate Decision

Bank of England meeting.

Previous
4.25%
Forecast
4.25% (hold)

Tuesday 2 June

01:30
CNY
Medium

Official China PMI

China activity index, watched for Asian growth-sensitive assets (copper, AUD, EM FX).

Previous
49.5
Forecast
49.8

Wednesday 3 June

14:30
USD
Medium

US GDP (preliminary)

US quarterly GDP, first estimate.

Previous
+2.0%
Forecast
+1.8% annualized

Friday 5 June

14:30
USD
High

US Core PCE (Fed preferred indicator)

The Fed's favorite inflation gauge for decisions. More important than CPI for Powell.

Previous
2.9% YoY
Forecast
2.8% YoY

Sunday 7 June

08:00
EUR
Medium

Eurozone CPI flash

Eurozone inflation, first estimate.

Previous
2.2% YoY
Forecast
2.1% YoY

Tuesday 9 June

14:30
USD
High

NFP + Wage Growth

US jobs and wage growth. If wage growth > 4% YoY, persistent inflationary pressure.

Previous
175K | +3.9%
Forecast
180K | +4.0% YoY