Fed: why futures markets still bet on rate cuts (and why they might be wrong)
US bond yields hit a one-year high. Inflation creeps back, driven by oil and tariffs. Yet futures markets still price Fed rate cuts. Decoding this divergence.
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Major crypto prices
BNB/USDT
$638.89
-0.66%
BTC/USDT
$76,739.17
-0.20%
DOGE/USDT
$0.1024
-2.49%
ETH/USDT
$2,109.76
-1.15%
SOL/USDT
$84.03
-1.35%
XRP/USDT
$1.36
-2.14%
Perpetual funding rates (% per 8h cycle)
| Symbol | Binance | Bybit | OKX |
|---|---|---|---|
| BNBUSDT | +0.0035% | +0.0008% | -0.0038% |
| BTCUSDT | +0.0073% | +0.0082% | +0.0088% |
| ETHUSDT | +0.0057% | +0.0013% | +0.0084% |
| SOLUSDT | +0.0006% | +0.0100% | +0.0012% |
| XRPUSDT | +0.0015% | +0.0100% | +0.0100% |
Positive funding = longs pay shorts (bullish market, possible squeeze). Negative = inverse. Above ±0.05% on all 3 exchanges, watch for reversal.
Latest news
All news →Bitcoin: retail leaves, institutions buy — who's right this time?
BTC drops from \$82k to \$76,800 (-6%) and crypto ETFs see nearly \$1B in outflows. On the other side: Strategy buys \$2B more, Abu Dhabi raises its stake 16%, and the White House prepares the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.
Oil: Iran/Trump tension wakes up the geopolitical premium
Oil climbs back (+3% over two weeks) amid Iran/Trump tensions and IEA's warning on commercial stocks depleting fast. Here's what's moving and why it's spilling into forex and bonds.
Funding rates: what to watch on Binance, OKX, Bybit
Perpetual funding rates give a direct signal on directional positioning in crypto. How to read them without getting fooled.
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