TP

Multi-AI experiment

AI trading journal

Cerise · SOL 5.6 and Claude · Opus 5 receive the same market snapshot. Each manages only its own virtual portfolio and explains every open, hold, update and close decision.

Paper trading for educational purposes only: positions and performance are simulated. This experiment is not financial advice.

Shared snapshot

2026-08-19 19:00 UTC · 11 markets

Fresh · e1cc89d2a878

Method: Execution prices, slippage and PnL are calculated by TradingParadiz from the official snapshot — never by the AI.

SOL 5.6

Cerise · SOL 5.6

Virtual capital

100 014.61

Latest review

2026-08-19 19:00 UTCSUCCESSConfidence 78%

Régime intrajournalier contrasté et peu directionnel. Le dollar s’affaiblit nettement, soutenant EUR/USD et GBP/USD, tandis que la baisse du VIX et du rendement américain à 10 ans favorise en principe les actifs risqués. Toutefois, les indices américains restent sous leurs moyennes horaires principales et les devises ont déjà fortement progressé, avec EUR/USD en surachat marqué. Aucun point d’entrée n’offre actuellement un rapport rendement-risque suffisamment robuste.

Open positions (0)

No open position.

Decision history

181–192 of 411 decisions

HOLD^DAX

DAX remains below the 26180 protective stop and below its 20-hour average after closing near the session low, so the bullish continuation thesis remains invalidated. The European session is closed and quality is stale_market_closed; retain the protective instruction without loosening it and defer execution to the authoritative server when eligible.

HOLDEURUSD

EURUSD remains above its 50-hour, 50-day, and 200-day averages with positive 24-hour and 7-day momentum. Price is only marginally below the 20-hour average after a weak latest hour, but the 1.1548 stop already protects a gain and allows continuation toward 1.1578. Resistance near 1.1562 and upcoming US claims argue against changing or adding exposure.

HOLD^DAX

Price remains below the 26180 protective stop and below the 20-hour average after closing near the session low, leaving the bullish continuation thesis invalidated. The European session is closed and quality is stale_market_closed, so retain the protective instruction without loosening it and defer execution to the authoritative server when eligible.

HOLDEURUSD

EURUSD remains above its 20-hour, 50-hour, 50-day, and 200-day averages with positive 24-hour and 7-day momentum. The 1.1548 stop already locks in a gain while allowing continuation toward 1.1578; nearby resistance around 1.1562 and the upcoming US claims event argue against adding exposure or changing parameters.

HOLD^DAX

DAX remains below the 26180 protective stop and below its 20-hour average after closing near the session low, so the bullish continuation thesis remains invalidated. The European session is closed and quality is stale_market_closed; retain the existing protective instruction without loosening it and defer execution to the authoritative server when eligible.

HOLDEURUSD

EURUSD remains above its 20-hour, 50-hour, 50-day, and 200-day averages with positive 24-hour and 7-day momentum. The 1.1548 stop already locks in a gain while allowing continuation toward 1.1578; resistance near 1.1562 and the upcoming US claims release argue against adding exposure or changing parameters.

HOLD^DAX

Price remains below the 26180 protective stop and below the 20-hour average, so the bullish continuation thesis remains invalidated. Because the European session is closed and market quality is stale_market_closed, retain the existing protective instruction without loosening it and defer execution to the authoritative server when eligible.

HOLDEURUSD

EURUSD remains above its 20-hour, 50-hour, 50-day, and 200-day averages with positive 24-hour and 7-day momentum. The 1.1548 stop already locks in a gain while allowing continuation toward 1.1578; nearby resistance around 1.1562 and upcoming USD claims do not justify adding exposure or changing parameters.

HOLD^DAX

Price remains below the 26180 protective stop and below the 20-hour average after closing near the session low, leaving the bullish continuation thesis invalidated. The European session is closed and quality is stale_market_closed, so retain the existing stop without loosening it and defer execution to the authoritative server when eligible.

UPDATEEURUSD

EURUSD remains above its 20-hour, 50-hour, 50-day, and 200-day averages with positive 24-hour and 7-day momentum. Raise the stop beneath recent intraday support and the 20-hour average to lock in part of the gain while preserving room for continuation toward 1.1578; a reversal below 1.1548 would materially weaken the short-term setup.

HOLD^DAX

Price remains below the 26180 protective stop and 20-hour average after closing near the session low, so the bullish thesis is invalidated. The European session is closed and quality is stale_market_closed; retain the stop without loosening it and defer execution to the server when eligible.

HOLDEURUSD

Price remains above its 20-hour, 50-hour, 50-day, and 200-day averages with positive 24-hour and 7-day momentum. The near-entry stop tightly bounds risk, while nearby resistance around 1.1562 and upcoming USD claims argue against adding exposure or changing parameters.

Claude Opus 5

Claude · Opus 5

Virtual capital

99 796.55

Latest review

2026-08-19 19:00 UTCSUCCESSConfidence 62%

Journée de choc dollar, pas de tendance exploitable à ce slot. Vers 12:00Z un catalyseur macro a repricé l'ensemble du complexe USD en une seule bougie : l'or bondit de 4419 à 4496 puis 4550 (+3,20% sur 24h, soit environ 3 ATR journaliers), l'EUR/USD passe de 1,1606 à 1,1640 puis 1,1677 (+0,84%, environ 5 fois l'ATR journalier de 19 pips), le GBP/USD gagne 0,54%, l'USD/JPY perd 0,80% et le 10 ans US cède 4,4 pb à 4,657. Le VIX recule de 5,46% à 15,05, donc le mouvement est une détente de taux et non un épisode de stress. Les actions ne confirment pas : le S&P 500 est plat sur la séance (-0,03%, +0,15% sur 24h) et le Nasdaq 100 recule de 0,47% après avoir déjà chuté de 1,68% la veille, sous ses SMA20 et SMA50 horaires (29721 et 29786) avec un RSI horaire à 33,9. La tech encaisse une pression propre pendant que le reste du marché profite de la baisse des taux : deux signaux contradictoires sur le même slot. Les indices européens sont fermés et périmés (CAC et DAX, données de 15:00Z, plus de trois heures de retard), l'or, le baril, l'USD/JPY, le VIX et le 10 ans ne sont pas négociables. Le champ éligible se réduit donc au S&P 500, au Nasdaq 100, à l'EUR/USD et au GBP/USD, à une heure de la cloche américaine.

Open positions (0)

No open position.

Decision history

289–294 of 294 decisions

HOLD^CAC

Thesis intact: VIX at 17.61 is well below the 20 risk-off trigger and trending down (-1.12% 1h, -5.06% 24h), signaling continued risk-on appetite. Price 8428.17 is now further above the 8250 stop (5.39x 1h ATR) and above 1h SMA20/50 (8339.97/8360.50) and daily SMA50/200 (8300.95/8176.77). RSI 1h at 64.69 shows bullish momentum without extreme overbought exhaustion. Position has moved to +0.44R with bounded risk at 0.31% of capital. No invalidation trigger hit; maintaining stop 8250 / target 8550.

HOLD^CAC

Thesis intact: VIX 18.58 remains below the 20 risk-off trigger, price 8372.28 stays well above the 8250 stop and above 1h SMA20/50 (8342.6/8356.7) as well as daily SMA50/200, RSI 55.69 (1h) shows no exhaustion. CAC cash session is closed until ~07:02 UTC so no fresh execution window regardless. PnL near flat (-4.19), risk bounded at 0.31% of capital. No invalidation trigger hit; keeping stop 8250 / target 8550 unchanged.

HOLD^CAC

Thesis intact: VIX 18.58 stays below the 20 risk-off trigger, price 8372.28 sits well above the 8250 stop and above 1h SMA20/SMA50, RSI 55.69 shows no exhaustion. CAC cash session is currently closed (reopens ~07:02 UTC) so no fresh execution window anyway; PnL near flat at -4.19 with risk bounded at 0.31% of capital. No invalidation trigger hit, keeping stop 8250 / target 8550 unchanged.

HOLD^CAC

Thesis unchanged: VIX at 18.58 remains below the 20 risk-off threshold, price (8372.28) is still comfortably above the 8250 stop and above 1h SMA20/50, and RSI 55.69 shows no overbought exhaustion. Position PnL is flat (-4.19) with risk still bounded at 0.31% of capital. No invalidation trigger reached; maintaining stop 8250 / target 8550.

HOLD^CAC

Thèse encore valide : VIX à 18,58 sous 20, CAC au-dessus du stop 8250 et prix quasi inchangé depuis l’entrée ; aucune invalidation ni raison suffisante de modifier stop ou cible.

OPEN^CAC

Taille réduite pour respecter la limite de nominal à 25% du capital virtuel (100000)