SOL 5.6
Cerise · SOL 5.6
Virtual capital
100 014.61
Latest review
Régime intrajournalier contrasté et peu directionnel. Le dollar s’affaiblit nettement, soutenant EUR/USD et GBP/USD, tandis que la baisse du VIX et du rendement américain à 10 ans favorise en principe les actifs risqués. Toutefois, les indices américains restent sous leurs moyennes horaires principales et les devises ont déjà fortement progressé, avec EUR/USD en surachat marqué. Aucun point d’entrée n’offre actuellement un rapport rendement-risque suffisamment robuste.
Open positions (0)
No open position.
Decision history
169–180 of 411 decisions
The short thesis remains intact: EURUSD is below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages, while the US 10-year yield is elevated and up 5.3 bps over 24 hours. Price remains below the 1.1546 invalidation level and position risk is small and bounded. Stabilization near 1.1520 and hourly RSI of 38 argue against adding or tightening prematurely; retain the existing stop, target and planned exit before the US employment releases.
The short thesis remains intact: EURUSD is below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages after a decisive intraday decline, while the US 10-year yield remains elevated and is up 5.3 bps over 24 hours. Price remains below the 1.1546 invalidation level and risk is small and bounded. Hourly RSI at 34.21 and support near 1.1520 argue against adding or tightening prematurely; retain the existing stop, target and planned exit before the US employment releases.
The short thesis remains intact: EURUSD is below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages, while the US 10-year yield is up 5.3 bps over 24 hours. Price remains below the 1.1546 invalidation level and risk is small and bounded. Hourly RSI near 35 and stabilization around 1.1525 argue against adding or tightening prematurely; retain the existing stop, target and pre-employment-data exit plan.
The short thesis remains intact: price is below the 20-hour and 50-hour averages and slightly below the 50-day average, while the US 10-year yield is up 5.3 bps over 24 hours. EURUSD remains well below the 1.1546 invalidation level, and risk is small and bounded. Hourly RSI at 36.85 and stabilization near 1.1527 argue against adding or tightening the position prematurely; retain the existing stop, target, and event-driven exit plan.
The short thesis remains intact: EURUSD is below its 20-hour, 50-hour and 50-day averages after a decisive intraday decline, while the US 10-year yield is up 5.3 bps over 24 hours. Price remains well below the 1.1546 invalidation level, and the existing risk is small and bounded. Hourly RSI at 35.14 cautions against adding exposure, so retain the current stop, target and planned exit before tomorrow's US employment releases.
Open a tactical short because fresh data show a confirmed breakdown below key hourly and daily trend references alongside rising US yields. Use a tight structural stop and avoid carrying exposure into tomorrow's high-impact US labor data.
DAX is trading at 26168.65, below the 26180 protective stop, with fresh data and the European session open. It also remains below its 20-hour average, confirming that the bullish continuation setup has failed; close rather than loosen the stop.
EURUSD is trading at 1.1546, below the 1.1548 protective stop, with fresh data and the forex session open. Hourly momentum has weakened and price is below its 20-hour average, so the protected gain should be realized rather than widening risk ahead of US claims.
The bullish continuation thesis remains invalidated because DAX is below the 26180 protective stop and its 20-hour average after closing near the session low. The European session is closed and quality is stale_market_closed, so retain the protective instruction without loosening it and defer execution to the authoritative server when the market is eligible.
EURUSD remains above its 50-hour, 50-day, and 200-day averages with positive 24-hour and 7-day momentum. The 1.1548 stop already locks in a gain while preserving upside toward 1.1578. Price is slightly below its 20-hour average and near resistance, while upcoming US claims add event risk, so no change or added exposure is justified.
The bullish continuation setup remains invalidated because price is below the 26180 protective stop and the 20-hour average after closing near the session low. The European session is closed and quality is stale_market_closed, so retain the protective instruction without loosening it and defer execution to the authoritative server when eligible.
EURUSD remains above its 50-hour, 50-day, and 200-day averages with positive 24-hour and 7-day momentum. The 1.1548 stop already protects a gain while preserving upside toward 1.1578. Price is marginally below the 20-hour average and near 1.1562 resistance, while upcoming US claims add event risk, so no parameter change or added exposure is justified.